Honey, I fucked the state!

The 2nd possibility

Possibility 2: Tata Motors refuses to part with land lease rights. WB government pledges helplessness in returning the land citing legal issues.

1. Trinamool and allies start an indefinite agitation in front of the vacated factory premises. Threaten to break down the gate and the wall and “snatch” the land.

2. The WB government warns the agitators of legal action. Sends huge armed police contingent to protect the land. Arms them with sticks, batons, shields, water cannons and a service revolver.

3. Agitators block the Expressway for days on end. Essential supplies to the city stopped. Petitions moved at High Court. HC asks government to help NHAI clear up the Expressway.

4. Police and highway authority officials start clearing up the Expressway. Agitators are incited by their leaders. Violent clashes happen as a result. Some agitators injured, some policemen killed. Meanwhile, another section of ‘miscreants’ break down the factory gate and a section of the wall.

5. The road block is lifted as the agitators are safely inside the enclosed land. Mamata threatens “bloodbath” if the government tries to evict the “rightful owners” from the land. The government gives up. Front supremos call this assault “barbaric” and “attack on humanity”. They threaten to discuss this in the Politburo meeting.

6. Some willing landowners come to get their land back. They are rudely turned away as their land has been “redistributed” among the “landless and jobless” supporters of the movement. Farmers are suitably scared.

7. Left front senses an “opportunity”. Start an agitation for the willing landowners. It’s a strange reversal of fate. The agitators are now the lords of the land, and the people in the power are in the agitators’ shoes.

8. Tata Motors wants its land back according to the lease deal. It files cases against the WB Government and the opposition in the Kolkata HC.

9. The Opposition assures Government of every help in its fight against “these ishtupid industrialists”. Sends its own army of lawyers to Writers’ Building to help team govt.

10. A group advertises its services on all Bengali “national” dailies and TV channels. They call themselves “unwilling farmers” and guarantee to successfully stop any development project in the state if suitably paid for their services. Opposition leaders express satisfaction with the fact that they have successfully “aroused” the Bengali farmer.

11. The government signs a pact with the opposition in presence of the governor. No new development projects in state will start until the Singur issue is sorted out with the Tatas. The Opposition lambasts the government next day, saying it has “moved away from the spirit of the deal”.

12. General Elections 2009: Government and allies win most seats in cities and towns. Opposition leads the tally in villages.

13. People wait for the development to happen as the land row refuses to die down. Opposition campaigns for “change” as the government “has failed”.

14. The CM writes a new play: “Dushshomoy Part II”

The Singur Issue: Honey, I fucked the state!

Part I

AS I’m writing this piece, a bevy of 10-wheel trucks are getting ready to leave the Singur Nano factory premises, filled with what could have been Bengal’s regeneration package – materials and machinery parts from the Tata plant. A factory that could have been the beacon light for the perennially sick industry in Bengal is now being stripped off to its foundations on the once-fertile land, slowly but surely.

By nightfall these trucks will be safely away from the West Bengal borders, a border that Mr. Ratan Tata, or for that matter any other industrialist, will tread with caution in the future.

Monday night’s incident of armed intrusion into the factory premises and the beating up of two security guards (one of whom is battling for life in a Kolkata hospital) was possibly the last wake-up call Tata Motors was waiting for. And with the West Bengal Industries minister Mr. Nirupam Sen practically admitting yesterday that hope for the Singur plant was getting bleaker by every passing day, the end seems imminent. The Tata’s announcement on winding up the factory seems now seems just a matter of time.

At this point in time, when all the roadblocks (read Tata motors) to the “re-agriculturisation” of Singur have been successfully uprooted, I feel it’s necessary to analyze the situation objectively and list the possible directions this movement will now take.

Let’s assume that Tata Motors has announced its decision to move ahead, and it leaves Singur.

Possibility 1: Tata Motors acquiesces land rights to the WB government. Both parties decide to cancel the lease agreement.

The things that can happen then, not necessarily in serial order:

1. The government returns the land to the unwilling farmers who have not taken the compensation, or who return the compensation cheque

2. The government keeps the land given by the willing farmers; fences off the land

3. Mamata Banerjee starts another agitation, this time in favour of willing farmers, and wants the entire 1000 acres back. Farmers are unwilling to give back the compensation amount, but want the land nonetheless.

4. Mob breaks down the government fencing and reclaims the land. Government goes weak at the knees, again. The Chief Minister announces that the government is unable to forcibly remove the people from the government land. The mob must now decide how to best divide the land amongst the farmers.

5. Singur farmers allege that ‘outsiders’ are taking over their land inside the project area. However, very few dare to lodge a police complaint. Those who do die mysteriously in a matter of hours. Panchayat, police and CPI(M) pledge helplessness.

6. Mamata Banerjee, Trinamool Congress, and the likes of Becharam Manna request the farmers of Singur to “adjust”. The “outsider brothers” who have supported their movement for so long need a “little land” to settle in Singur. The Singur farmers understand, at last. The CPI(M) is slowly wiped off from the region.

7. Mamata threatens the state government with another agitation if the government does not sanction money to remove the concrete piling from the “acquired” land.
8. The Jindal Group, the Videocon Industries, the Essar Group, the Atomic Energy Commission, Bengal Shipyard, and numerous other industrialists join the bandwagon, decide to shift their projects from West Bengal. The WBIDC is in a state of perpetual shock.

9. May 2009, General Elections: The people of Bengal are at last united. They now know the new messiah of the rural and urban poor. Trinamool Congress and its allies bag 34 among the 42 Lok Sabha seats on offer. Some fools, intellectuals, industrialists who voted for other parties are mercilessly beaten up by unknown assailants. CPI(M) cries itself hoarse with allegations of “rigging”.

10. New unions at the Writers’ Building vow to stop the government machinery from functioning.

11. “Unwilling farmers” led by the usual suspects lay siege to Sector V. Demand buildings need to be pulled down to create farming opportunities for the local jobless. Rajarhat sees a first, autos being used to plough the land.

12. The people of Bengal wait with bated breath for a new agricultural dawn.

Possibility II in the next post…

Now Sikkim too belongs to China

You never would have thought that, would you? But the Chinese definitely have. After Arunachal Pradesh, the Chinese have now staked claims to Sikkim. Earlier this month, Chinese troops transgressed the international border and entered one kilometer inside northern Sikkim. For a full report on this incident, visit:
http://www.ibnlive.com/news/sikkim-intrusion-india-shies-away-from-confronting-china/67393-3.html

This comes after numerous such incidents at Arunachal Pradesh. Over and above the regular intrusions, road and helipad building inside the Indian side of the LAC, in April the Chinese troops came 12 kilometers inside at Maja in Arunachal Pradesh.

Such transgressions are not limited to the East and the Northeast, they are now happening at the western sector as well. On May 16 this year, Chinese troops chased away Indian military and IB officials and hurled insults at them from inside the Line of Actual Control near Ladakh. For a full report on this incident and a tactical analysis of the Chinese threat, do visit:
http://indiatoday.digitaltoday.in/index.php?Itemid=1&id=9754&option=com_content&task=view&issueid=39&sectionid=61

Close to 400 such intrusions have happened in the last three years. This year, the count is about 90. The question that naturally comes to my mind is why such incidents are happening so frequently now. Why is the Chinese government staking claims to newer parcels of India? Does China perceive us as a weak nation incapable of defending ourselves?

The facts that come out are not very encouraging. Till date, the politicos at North Block have done precious little to proclaim: "Fuck off, this is out territory." On the contrary, they have bent over backwards to please the Chinese and have repeatedly tried to flag these intrusions off as stray incidents of no consequence. There has been no sustained effort to douse the tension at the border, except feeble diplomatic protests. Have any of you heard our Prime Minister, external affairs minister or defence minister protest against these intrusions publicly? Last heard, Pranab Mukherjee was cold-shouldered and denied raising the intrusion issue with the highest levels of Chinese leadership. (Source: http://indiatoday.digitaltoday.in/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9754&Itemid=1&issueid=58&limit=1&limitstart=1)

A weak leadership in India is helping the Chinese to flex their muscle. A coalition government that can't make a single decision without fearing a backlash, supported by Left parties whose China-filia is long familiar, and what more would you want? Now China doesn't even consider India as an equal or a threat, only as a nation that can be bullied. Our competitive advantage is eroding every day. On the other side, with increasing ballistic missile capability and mobile launchers, hidden seaports that station nuke-armed nuclear submarines, and space-age lasers and satellite destroyer missiles, the Chinese are steadily increasing their influence beyond their geographical boundaries. If India doesn't stand up to this big-brother attitude now, it might be too late to do so. And then, you might really need a Chinese visa to visit Gangtok or Itanagar.

All this brings another thought to my mind, isn't it time we had a new government? Some leaders who have their backbones at the right places?